Ukuvuselelwa Kwezentengiselwano Zomhlaba Wonke - Novemba 2024

I-Global Trade Landscape iye yabhekana nentuthuko enkulu kule nyanga, ibonisa amashifu ezomnotho kanye nemithelela yenqubomgomo kuzo zonke izifunda.

1. I-China excurentr surge: Ukuthekelisa okuthunyelwe yiChina kwavuka ngo-12,7% ngo-Okthoba, ngaphambi kwezinguquko ezilindelekile zentela ngaphansi kokuphathwa kwe-US okuzayo. Lokhu kuphakama okubukhali kubonisa imizamo yabakhiqizi yokugwema izithiyo ezingaba khona zokuhweba, yize amazinga okungenisa eChina awela, aqokomisa ukufunwa kwasekhaya okubuthakathaka.

2. I-Outlook enhle ye-WTO: I-World Trade Organisation ivuselele isibikezelo sayo sokukhula komhlaba wonke kuya ku-2.7%, nalokhu kuqashelwa ukunciphisa ukwehla kwamanani kanye namanani enzalo kanye namathemba okuqukethwe kwe-geopolitical eMiddle East.

3. Ubudlelwano be-US-China: izingxoxo zakamuva engqungqutheleni ye-APEC phakathi kukaMongameli waseChina Xi Jinping futhi uMongameli wase-US uJoe Babiden wagcizelela ukuphatha ukungezwani. Ngaleso sikhathi, ukubambisana kwezomnotho kweChina okujulile eLatin America, njengokuxhasa ngemali i-Mega-port ePeru, kugqamisa ithonya lawo lokuya ezokuhwebo komhlaba.

4. Umthelela wezinqubomgomo zase-US: Ukubuyiselwa kwezinqubomgomo zokuhweba ezinolaka nathi ngaphansi kwabaphathi abasha ukukhulisa ukukhathazeka. Amazwe afana neVietnam, athembele kakhulu ekuthumezweni kwe-US, abhekane nezingqinamba ezingaba khona ezitokisini eziphezulu. Izizwe zaseYurophu zifane nazinye zikhathazeke ngokuvikelwa kokuthola Ukukhula.

I-5. Imizamo yezobuchwepheshe nokusimama Ngokunjalo, izimiso zokuhweba ezizinzile zithola ukugcwala, ukuhambisana nezinhloso zemvelo nezenhlalo.

Lawa mashifu abonisa isimo esinamandla futhi axhumekile sokuhweba komhlaba wonke, agcizelela ukubaluleka kokuguqulwa kwezinguquko ekushintsheni kwenqubomgomo yokuhamba namathuba ezomnotho. Hlala ubukele izibuyekezo ezengeziwe zokuthi le ntuthuko ithinta kanjani imboni yensimbi engenasici kanye nemikhakha ehlobene nayo.