Yimuphi umthelela okhethweni lukaThump uzoba nomthelela kwezohwebo lwakwelinye izwe laseChina?

Ukhetho lukaTrump lube nomthelela emvelweni yezohwebo lomhlaba jikelele, ngokungangabazeki kuyinselele enkulu yamabhizinisi okuhweba angaphandle eChina. Njengomfakeli wezentengiselwano, iziphakamiso zenqubomgomo kaTrump zinomthelela oqondile ebuhlotsheni bezohwebo lweSinO-US, okuthinta ukuhweba kwangaphandle kweChina.

Okokuqala, uTrump ugqugquzela amanani entela aphezulu nokuvikelwa kokuhweba. Ufunge ukuthi uzophoqa amanani entela afinyelela kumaphesenti angama-45 ngokungeniswa kwamaShayina uma ekhethwe, emzameni wokuvikela izimboni zasekhaya. Le nqubomgomo ingaholela emphumeleni omkhulu ebhizinisini lokuthumela ngaphandle kwaseChina, amabhizinisi okuhweba angaphandle amaShayina kumele ahlale aphapheme, anake amandla emakethe yase-US, futhi ahlole ngentshiseko ezinye izimakethe ukuze zinciphise ubungozi.

Okwesibili, i-Trump Moderidency ingaholela ekwehleni kwamaphesenti angama-87 e-Chinese ethunyelwa e-US. I-China ne-United States yizomnotho athembekile, futhi izithunyelwa ngaphandle ziyinsika ebalulekile yokukhula komnotho waseChina. Kodwa-ke, uTrump ugqugquzele izithiyo zokuhweba kanye nokunciphisa ukugeleza kwezohwebo, okuzonciphisa isabelo sokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe ase-US emakethe yase-US. Ngasikhathi sinye, amanye amabhizinisi angabuyisa ukukhiqizwa kanye nemisebenzi e-United States, ezothuthukisa ukuguqulwa kweChina emnothweni oqondiswe kuwo emnothweni osuselwa ekhaya, futhi abhekane nokwakhiwa kabusha komnotho okuyinkimbinkimbi.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukhetho lukaTrump luzothinta futhi ibhizinisi lokuhambisa izimpahla laseChina liye e-United States. Ivolumu yezimpahla ezihanjiswa phakathi kweChina ne-United States zinkulu, kanti izimpahla zaseChina zincintisana kakhulu emakethe yaseMelika. Lapho i-Trump isebenzisa amanani aphezulu okukhokhwa kanye nezinqubomgomo zokuvikela ukuhweba, ukuthunyelwa kwama-chinese okuthunyelwe kuzokwehla kakhulu, okuthinta izinsizakalo zokuthumela izimpahla ezinjengezinkampani zokuthumela.

Ngokuya ngomthelela ophakathi nendawo nesikhathi eside, inqubomgomo yokuvikela ukuhweba kaTrump ayigcini ngokuletha imiphumela emibi emnothweni womhlaba, kodwa futhi ingahle ibangele ukukhula komnotho womhlaba ukwehla kanye nokwenyuka kwamandla emali kukhuphuke. Njengomnotho omkhulu wezwe, izinguquko zenqubomgomo e-United States zinomthelela ekuhwebeni kwamanye amazwe, ikakhulukazi iChina neminye i-Economies e-Asia. Ingozi eyandayo yempi yokuhweba phakathi kweChina ne-United States ingaphazamisa amaketanga okukhiqiza emhlabeni wonke futhi ithinta ukuhweba nokukhiqizwa komhlaba wonke.

Ngokuya ngenqubomgomo yezomnotho, ukuncishiswa kwentela, ukwakhiwa kwengqalasizinda kanye nenqubomgomo yezezimali enzima. Ukuncishiswa kwentela kungakhuphula ukukhula komnotho, kepha indlela yakhe yokuvikela ukuhweba ingahlehlisa uhlelo lokuhweba lomhlaba wonke. Ubudlelwano phakathi kweChina ne-United States bangomunye wobudlelwano obubaluleke kakhulu emhlabeni. Ukubambisana phakathi kwalezi zinhlangothi zombili kuzoholela emiphumeleni yokuwina, kuyilapho izingxabano zizoholela ekulahlekelweni - alahlekelwe izimo. Iziphakamiso zezohwebo zikaTrump ngokumelene neChina, njengokuqamba ama-manipulator wemali kanye nokufaka amanani aphezulu ezimpahleni zaseChina, zingangeza ekucindezelweni phansi komnotho waseChina.

Ngokunokwenzeka kwempi yokuhweba okugcwele okugcwele, impi yokuhweba okugcwele phakathi kweChina ne-United States akunakwenzeka ukuthi iphume, kepha ubungozi bempi yokuhweba okuyingxenye ihlala. UTrump angaphakamisa amanani entela noma eminye imikhawulo kwezinye izimpahla zesiShayina, ezothinta izimboni ezinjengomshini wemishini kanye nogesi nokukhulisa umfutho wezomnotho waseChina. Ngaphezu kwalokho, amanani entengo aphezulu emikhiqizweni yaseChina kanye nogesi kagesi e-United States angakhulisa futhi ingcindezi yehla e-yuan, ngoba izothinta ukuthekelisa kweChina kanye nokukhiqiza imali, okuholela ekuphumeni kwemali okuyimali.

Ngokuvamile, ukhetho lukaTrump lulethe ukungaqiniseki emvelweni nasezinseleleni zamanye amazwe zaseChina kumabhizinisi okuhweba angaphandle aseChina. I-China idinga ukunaka ukwenziwa kwezinqubomgomo zikaTrump, lungisa isu layo lokubhekana nokulimazeka kwezohwebo okungenzeka, futhi likhuthaze ukuguqulwa kanye nokwenziwa ngcono kwesakhiwo salo sezomnotho ukujwayela imvelo entsha yamazwe omhlaba.

(Umbono wakho)